Intraday Market Analysis – USD Walks On Thin Ice.

USDJPY enters supply area


The US dollar struggles to bounce higher as high inflation seems temporary.

The previous sell-off below the demand area near 109.80 has spoiled the recovery mood. The former support has turned into a resistance and so far capped the greenback’s advance.

The pair is in horizontal consolidation while the RSI returns to neutral conditions.

110.30 would be the next hurdle if the price action turns around. A fall below 109.20 could trigger another round of sell-off towards 108.60, a major support on the daily chart.

NZDUSD capped by falling trendline


The New Zealand dollar sees profit-taking in anticipation of this week’s FOMC.

The pair has been in extended consolidation after it broke above the daily resistance at 0.7300. The descending trendline indicates increasing selling pressure.

The kiwi has a well-established demand zone around 0.7115, a key support from the daily chart. As the RSI rises back from an oversold situation, buying interest could push the pair towards the trendline (0.7180).

The ten-week-long rally may resume only if the price breaks out.

US 30 consolidates gains


The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallies as the recovery goes in full swing in the US.

The latest whipsaw barely dented investors’ faith. The index has recouped most of the losses from the May sell-off. Buyers have been building their stakes above the 30-day moving average (34350). 34750 is the key resistance intraday, its breach may send the price action to the peak at 35100.

On the downside, a deeper correction would test the critical demand area between 33500 and 33700 from the daily chart.

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